Behavioral Economics: Difference between revisions
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#Stock prices are "correct" in the sense that asset prices reflect the true or rational value of the security. (not tested because intrinsic values are not observable) | #Stock prices are "correct" in the sense that asset prices reflect the true or rational value of the security. (not tested because intrinsic values are not observable) | ||
#Upredictability- in an efficient market it is not possible to predict future stock price movements based on publicly available information | #Upredictability- in an efficient market it is not possible to predict future stock price movements based on publicly available information | ||
'''Behavioral Life-Cycle Theory''' | |||
#People have the temptation to spend more of their income now than in the future. | |||
{{Behavioral Economics Nav Bar}} | {{Behavioral Economics Nav Bar}} |
Revision as of 20:55, 1 May 2007
Behavioral Economics
Overview
Behavioral Economics Theories
Prospect Theory
- How people make choices under uncertainty. One needs to understand when indviduals faced with separate gambles treat them as separate gains and losses and when they treat them as one, pooling them to produce one gain or loss.
- It is defined over change to wealth rather than levels of wealth to incorporate the concept of adaptation
- The loss function is steeper than the gain function to incorporate the notion of "loss aversion"; the notion that people are more sensitive to descreases in their well being than to increases.
- Both the gain and loss function display diminishing sensitvity (the gain function is concave, the loss function is convex) to reflect experimental findings.
Assymmetric Value Function
Rational efficient markets hypothesis
- Stock prices are "correct" in the sense that asset prices reflect the true or rational value of the security. (not tested because intrinsic values are not observable)
- Upredictability- in an efficient market it is not possible to predict future stock price movements based on publicly available information
Behavioral Life-Cycle Theory
- People have the temptation to spend more of their income now than in the future.