A Fundamental Approach

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Firm Foundation theorists use the fundamental approach to determine the intrinsic value discussed earlier. They look at several main determinants in their analysis of stock prices and future dividends.

Determinant 1: The Expected Growth Rate

Malkiel notes that many newly established coporations perish early. The ones that survive rapidly grow, mature, and then experience a period of stability. However, since it becomes increasingly difficult to sustain growth rates over time, many companies eventually ‘die out.’

Finally, Malkiel gives his First Rule, Rule 1:

"A rational investor should be willing to pay a higher price for a share, the larger the growth rate of dividends."

His Corollary to Rule 1:

"A rational investor should be willing to pay a higher price for a share the longer the growth rate is expected to last."


Determinant 2: The Expected Dividend Payout