ANALYSIS OF THE ASIAN CRISIS

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INTRODUCTION

  • An analysis of the East Asian crisis.
  • A brief overview of how East Asia was before the crisis and its situation after the crisis.
  • Its impact on the rest of the world.

OVERVIEW OF EXCHANGE RATES

  • Exchange rates are quoted as foreign currency per unit of domestic currency or domestic currency per unit of foreign currency.
  • Exchange rate allows us to denominate the cost or price of a good or service in a common currency.
  • Depreciation is a decrease in the value of a currency relative to another currency.
  • Appreciation is an increase in the value of a currency relative to another currency.

THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

  • It is the financial market where exchange rates are determined.
  • Participants of the foreign exchange market are:
  1. Commercial banks and other depository institutions: transactions involve buying/selling of bank deposits in different currencies for investment.
  2. Non-bank financial institutions (pension funds, insurance funds) may buy/sellforeign assets.
  3. Private firms: conduct foreign currency transactions to buy/sell goods, assets or services.
  4. Central banks: conduct official international reserves transactions.

CAUSES OF THE ASIAN CRISIS

Heavy investment in highly speculative in real estate ventures.

There was a decrease in export due to the appreciation of the dollar against the yen.

Overbuilding of real estate.

Decrease in stock prices due to the drop in real estate prices.

The deterioration in the balance sheet of banks due to increasing loan losses.

Adverse selection and moral hazard problems.

Increase in interest rates.

Increase in uncertainty.

Unsustainable current account deficits.

Over-dependence on short-term foreign funds.

Poor regulation of the economy.

Over-inflated asset prices.

Macroeconomic policy: Fixed exchange rates.