The Modigliani-Miller Theorem

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Neutrality

  • A firm’s investment strategy is totally independent of its liquidity position

Early Keynesians View

  • theory contradicts the neutrality
  • emphasized two variables as determinants of investment
1. current cash flow
2. a firm’s current holdings of liquid assets
  • both of these variables are a measure of funds available to a firm without seeking outside investment

Modigliani and Miller

  • theory supports the neutrality
  • Modigliani and Miller assume that managers maximize shareholder and that markets are frictionless and competitive
  • Investment is independent from a firm’s financial position because under the given assumptions, a firm will simply borrow funds to invest. Therefore, the amount of current cash flow and the current liquidity position of a firm will not affect its investment.

Q-Theory

James Tobin (1969)

  • A firm will invest up until the point where the marginal cost of producing a new unit of capital is the same as the value of that unit of capital in the stock market. This value is given by the q-ratio

q-ratio- the market value of a firm’s shares divided by its capital stock

  • According to q-theory current profits are simply one component of many which determine the value of q, and therefore plays no special role in determining investment


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