Budget Deficit
Government Budget
Government Outlays
- government purchases(G): expenditures on currently produced goods and services (government consumption) or capital goods (government investment).
- transfer payments(TR): payments made to individuals, which the government does not receive current goods or services.
- examples:
- Social Security payments
- military and civil service pensions
- unemployment insurance
- welfare payments
- Medicare
- net intrest payments (INT): intrest paid to the holders of government bonds minus the intrest received by the government. (outstanding government loans, which increase with higher rates of government borrowing)
Subsidies
Another minor category included in government outlays is subsidies less surpluses of government enterprises. Subsidies are government payments that are implemented to affect the production and prices of goods
Taxes
- personal taxes- the largest form of government taxes, includes personal income and property taxes
- 16th Amendment: in 1913 this bill legalized income taxes
- contributions for social insurance- primarily Social Security taxes
- inderect business taxes- sales tax
- corporate taxes- taxes received from corporate profit
Deficit
A budget deficit occurs when outlays exceed revenue collected from taxes.
- current deficit identifies how much the government will have to borrow to cover its expenditures
current deficit = outlays - tax revenue = (government purchases + transfers + net interest) - tax revenues = (G + TR + INT) - T
- primary deficit excludes net intrest from government outlays, since net intrest does not represent current program costs but the cost of past expenditures financed from government borrowing. Primary deficit identifies whether or not the government will be able to aford current programs.
primary deficit = outlays - net interest - tax revenues = government purchases + transfers) - tax revenue = (G + TR) - T
Effects on Macroeconomy
Fiscal policies can have real affects on important economic factors, such as output, employment and prices.
Aggregate Demand
- ?G → ?C → ?S
- IS → shifts up & rt.
- AD → shifts up & rt.
Ricardian Equivalence
The Classical model assumes that with a lump-sum tax, no changes occur in desired national savings, so the IS and AD curves remain unaffected
Keynesian approach
The Keynesian model shows how taxes can influence household saving decisions, stating taxes directly affect household disposable income and desired consumption. Keynsian economists advocate government intervention and the use of fiscal policy to stabalize the economy and maintain full employment.
Automatic Stabilizers
The budget deficit tends to rise during periods of economic recession and fall during economic booms.
- full-employment deficit: what the deficit would be at full-employment level
The government has created provisions, which are inherent to the budget, that cause government expenditures to automatically rise during a recession. This occurs without legislative action.
- examples:
- unemployment insurance
- income tax system
Government Capital Formation
Government capital is long-lived physical assets, which affect future production
Incentives
?T → changes in financial rewards
- affects S & I
- average tax rate: taxes/ before-tax income
?average tax rate → ? amount of labor supplied
- the more you, work the more money you will get; the same % of tax will be removed from your income
- marginal tax rate: fraction of additional dollar of income that must be paid in taxes
?marginal tax rate → ? amount of labor supplied
- if you work more, after-tax rewards decline
Deficit vs. Debt
- government budget deficit-a flow variable; the difference between expenditures and tax revenues or the change in debt for a current year
- government debt-a stock variable, the total value of government bonds outstanding at any time
Debt-GDP Ratio
GDP is an important aspect when measuring debt. A high GDP means more resources are available to pay principle or intrest payments on government bonds